security

Truce? So Far the War Is Forging Ahead

The concept of truce will remain a source of pressure and provocation rather than a path to normality and lasting peace.

One of the papers prepared for this year’s Yalta Economic Strategy Forum includes a short note on the development of war scenarios. Its title features a cut-off date that determines the prospect of defeat or victory. It is the year 2030. In a statement from late November, the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom and former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, reflects on the future course of the war. He refers to 2027 as the year when Russia will lose its operational capability. In his view, major breakthroughs are unlikely by then. This is contingent on technological processes and evolving tactics. “The rise of robots on the battlefield has made soldiers nearly incapable of manoeuvring. This inability to fight against robots led to a stalemate. We could not move forward against the Russians and they could not move forward against us either. There was a deadlock”, the general commented.